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Ukraine rejects EU
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  • The Realness
Don
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Post: #11
RE: Ukraine rejects EU
I don't think Ukraine to the EU is going to happen with this current administration in. They're adamant on Yulia Tymoshenko being cast as a traitor and a criminal. The government still works very much like a kleptocracy, as are many of the governments in the east, and depending on which side you stand on, Tymoshenko is either wrongly persecuted or rightfully placed in jail. I don't normally like talking politics because it is highly debatable, but from my research, Tymoshenko was clearly a threat to the establishment and the EU has acknowledged as much.

I think one of the reasons Yanukovych has rejected such a deal is because he would have to exonerate Tymoshenko. This could cause chaos in Ukraine. For one, acquitting Tymoshenko would be an admission of fraud for the government. Such a maneuver would de-legitimatize the government and Yanukovych could lose some of his supports. As we have seen regarding the Orange revolution, most Ukrainians seem fed up with the establishment and this would be adding fuel to the fire.

Honestly, though. Not joining the EU is in Ukraine's best interest if they play their cards right. EU wanted to control of Russian pipelines as energy is EUs biggest concern right now and Ukraine wanted some of free money in forms of subsidies (CAP - Common Agricultural Policy). Sure, it cannot be boiled down to these two things, but it is the main premise.

Perhaps the best thing for Ukraine is to take a page out of the former Yugoslavia's book. If you remember correctly during the Cold War, Yugoslavia was part of the 3rd bloc. Yugoslavia did not align specifically with the Soviets or the United States, instead they received ridiculously favorable trade deals from both. This isn't the cold war, but Russia is losing a lot of it's political mite in the region; Ukraine could play both sides.

As of 2008, Ukraine is a candidate to join NATO, that is pretty huge. Part of Yuoglsavia's downfall, amongst other things, was their relentless spending on military. Despite a political economy set up to fail, their trade deals were arguably kept the country going. Ukraine would not necessarily have to spend all that money on defense if their in NATO, so they focus their attention on other emerging sectors, something Yugoslavia failed to do.
11-25-2013, 01:06 PM
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Messages In This Thread
Ukraine rejects EU - by Astraeos - 11-22-2013, 11:30 PM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Dash - 11-23-2013, 12:05 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Partisan - 11-23-2013, 12:10 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Paulie - 11-23-2013, 12:52 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Astraeos - 11-25-2013, 12:55 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Partisan - 11-25-2013, 04:48 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Astraeos - 11-25-2013, 02:54 PM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 11-23-2013, 12:21 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by William - 11-23-2013, 10:08 PM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Paulie - 11-24-2013, 12:51 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Shanked - 11-25-2013, 10:32 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Don - 11-25-2013, 01:06 PM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 11-26-2013, 12:59 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Don - 11-26-2013, 04:33 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 11-26-2013, 07:21 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Partisan - 11-26-2013, 09:24 PM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Astraeos - 11-28-2013, 03:31 PM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by William - 12-11-2013, 01:37 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 12-11-2013, 01:46 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 12-11-2013, 01:46 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by deb auchery - 12-11-2013, 01:54 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by William - 12-12-2013, 12:45 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 12-12-2013, 01:04 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Partisan - 12-12-2013, 01:17 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 12-12-2013, 01:37 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Partisan - 12-12-2013, 02:34 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 12-12-2013, 03:07 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Vorkuta - 12-12-2013, 04:40 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 12-12-2013, 05:36 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Astraeos - 12-12-2013, 06:39 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by deb auchery - 12-12-2013, 06:47 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 12-13-2013, 02:57 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Don - 12-13-2013, 09:33 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Don - 12-13-2013, 01:43 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by William - 12-13-2013, 02:32 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Vorkuta - 12-13-2013, 03:58 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 12-13-2013, 05:09 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 12-14-2013, 02:07 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Astraeos - 12-14-2013, 03:46 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 12-14-2013, 05:22 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Astraeos - 12-14-2013, 09:47 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by William - 12-21-2013, 09:46 PM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by timmyjack - 12-22-2013, 07:30 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by Astraeos - 12-24-2013, 01:19 AM
RE: Ukraine rejects EU - by The Realness - 12-24-2013, 01:52 AM

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